目的:对中医药科技文献增长规律进行研究。方法:对中医药类期刊数据和4所中医院校发表论文的数据进行曲线回归分析。结果:由回归分析假设检验的结果,表明建立指数模型是合适的。结论:中医药类期刊数据和发表论文数据均符合普赖斯提出的科技文献指数增长规律,并且提出增长率b和累积发表论文总量可作为评价中医各单位科研水平的参考指标。

This paper aimed to study the growth law of traditional Chinese medicine(TCM) scientific literature.Curvilinear regression analysis is used to analyze data from TCM journals and published papers of four TCM colleges.The result of regression hypothesis test showed that the exponential model is appropriate.It is concluded that the growth of data from TCM journals and published papers were accorded with the exponential growth in Price law.The growth rate b and cumulative total of published papers are proposed as reference indexes to evaluate the level of TCM scientific research.